Saturday morning is the calm before the storm...

Clouds will continue to thicken throughout the day. Early afternoon could see a few spotty showers. But, by evening around 7PM, the rain will pick up. At 6AM, very heavy rain was falling across the entire state of Oklahoma. Live video from KOCO-TV showed the rain pouring like cats and dogs...and with the temperature near freezing, icy conditions likely there. This storm is still projected to track North and East - center of circulation passes South of Kansas City. So, what Oklahoma City is seeing, we'll see later today and into Sunday.

Heavy rain and thunder is likely later this evening and continuing overnight. I still see the possibility of an inch or two of rain in the metro. Flood watch remains in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday. By 5AM Sunday, colder air will begin to move in and change the rain to a mix. By 7AM Sunday, looking like all of us will see snow.

Snowfall accumulations will be heaviest in locations that have seen the most snowfall all season long...this includes Maryville, St. Joseph and Leavenworth. This is where I can see 3-6" of snow and ice through Sunday. For the metro, just an inch or two. The bulk of this storm will fall as rain in Kansas City and then change to that light amount of snow early Sunday morning.

Periods of snow will continue through Sunday. I see another minor system behind this major storm that could produce a few additional flurries Sunday evening.

Monday will be quite cold with highs in the 20s. Warmer on Tuesday in the 30s. Wednesday through Friday, another storm is on tap. Temps look to be warm enough to produce rain showers during this time. But there might be some leftover moisture early Friday morning to produce a few snow showers.