Sunday, March 30, 2008
Sunday and Monday Severe Weather Threat
Storms are currently moving through southern Missouri and Arkansas as I write this...flood warnings are up near the MO/AR state line. We have received reports of at least 1" of rain in Bates and Henry counties in Missouri - but no warnings for them at the present time. This wave of storms will trend East through the morning hours.
Another line of showers has developed over northcentral Kansas and southcentral Nebraska. These are minor showers and are not expected to become severe.
By this afternoon, the warm front advances North across our viewing area. There could be a few showers that pop...but I don't see anything severe happening until this evening - almost until dark! That's when the greatest lift and instability arrive. Some isolated storms could develop at this time and reach severe limits. Large hail and damaging winds still the primary threats.
Overnight tonight and into Monday morning...storms will be in northeastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri. These could also be on the strong to severe side. Heavy rain is also a concern.
We're not done just yet...cold front wants to move through sometime late Monday if not Monday night. Ahead of this front, storms could fire up again as early as Monday morning after 10AM and last through evening. I anticipate a squall line coming together...again hail and damaging winds will be a problem. However, there could be a few isolated tornadoes. This system should wrap up by 10 PM Monday night with a few snowflakes in NE Kansas and NW Missouri (yes - temperatures drop that sharply behind the front).
Tuesday is when the clouds will break and temperatures will cool into the lower 50s. Warm air advances again on Wednesday ahead of another strong storm system. As early as Wednesday night, more storms/showers could fire up. That leads to more rain, possibly heavy, through Thursday. Although it is still several days out, severe weather could also be a problem at this time.
Temperatures stay in the 60s through the weekend and right now this time period looks dry.
Another line of showers has developed over northcentral Kansas and southcentral Nebraska. These are minor showers and are not expected to become severe.
By this afternoon, the warm front advances North across our viewing area. There could be a few showers that pop...but I don't see anything severe happening until this evening - almost until dark! That's when the greatest lift and instability arrive. Some isolated storms could develop at this time and reach severe limits. Large hail and damaging winds still the primary threats.
Overnight tonight and into Monday morning...storms will be in northeastern Kansas and northwestern Missouri. These could also be on the strong to severe side. Heavy rain is also a concern.
We're not done just yet...cold front wants to move through sometime late Monday if not Monday night. Ahead of this front, storms could fire up again as early as Monday morning after 10AM and last through evening. I anticipate a squall line coming together...again hail and damaging winds will be a problem. However, there could be a few isolated tornadoes. This system should wrap up by 10 PM Monday night with a few snowflakes in NE Kansas and NW Missouri (yes - temperatures drop that sharply behind the front).
Tuesday is when the clouds will break and temperatures will cool into the lower 50s. Warm air advances again on Wednesday ahead of another strong storm system. As early as Wednesday night, more storms/showers could fire up. That leads to more rain, possibly heavy, through Thursday. Although it is still several days out, severe weather could also be a problem at this time.
Temperatures stay in the 60s through the weekend and right now this time period looks dry.
Posted at 4:40 AM by Lisa Teachman

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