Sunday, February 24, 2008

One Storm's Gone...And Here Comes Another!

Kansas City was on the northern edge of last night's storm. Have heard several reports of a dusting around the metro to 2 " in Overland Park, Clinton and Warrensburg. Linn, Bates and Cass counties saw in the neighborhood of 2 to 4". This storm is now history, but due to the remaining moisture and low cloud cover, freezing fog is a possibility this morning. By 9AM, the fog will be out and sunshine will be in with winds out of the southwest. Highs this afternoon will climb into the 40s, but locations with the most snowfall will have a harder time of getting into the upper 40s.

Monday and Tuesday another storm system arrives. Looks like the majority of the storms/snow will stay up in Nebraska and Iowa. But, Monday morning there could be a few cold rain showers (especially in northern Missouri). By afternoon, as the front advances through Missouri, this may trigger some storms namely South and East of the metro. If the storm doesn't get out of here fast and the moisture remains, some flurries and light snow are possible early Tuesday morning.

Wednesday and Thursday look quiet with a lot of sunshine. Temperatures will reach into the 40s again by Thursday. Looks like a quick moving system late Thursday into Friday that might produce a light wintry mix.

Next Saturday and Sunday look warmer with highs in the 40s and 50s. Chances for rain showers increase by Sunday.

Posted at 7:00 AM by Lisa Teachman

Saturday, February 23, 2008

Weather Update - February 23, 2008

Warmer changes on the way for this weekend. Highs for Saturday will climb into the middle to upper 30s. A few spots like Sedalia and Warrensburg may reach into the lower 40s. There will be a brief period of time early Saturday morning when we will see the most sunshine. However, clouds are already starting to crowd in southwestern Kansas as of 6AM. These clouds will move through our region this afternoon. The majority of the day will stay dry. Models still are painting some precip from Kansas City southward after 7PM. This should begin as rain and some sleet might try to mix in...but overnight it switches to snow. The best places to pick up this precipitation will be South of a line from Ottawa to Paola to Butler. But, if this storm twitches slightly North, could bring the precip closer to KC. Little to no accumulation is expected.

That system should be out by first light Sunday morning. Sunshine returns and highs will climb into the middle 40s.

Another system arrives for Monday. Rain showers and even a few isolated thunderstorms are possible. The main portion of this storm system may travel to our north, but we'll still get something out of it. Colder air moves in by Tuesday morning changing the precip to snow. The heavier snow accumulations might line up in eastern Missouri. Highs for Tuesday will be in the middle 30s.

Warmer and more quiet at the end of the work week. Forecasting mainly clear skies Wednesday through Saturday. Highs by next Saturday will be in the middle 40s.

Posted at 7:04 AM by Lisa Teachman

Saturday, February 16, 2008

A Two-Part Storm...First Rain, Then Snow.

Saturday morning is the calm before the storm...

Clouds will continue to thicken throughout the day. Early afternoon could see a few spotty showers. But, by evening around 7PM, the rain will pick up. At 6AM, very heavy rain was falling across the entire state of Oklahoma. Live video from KOCO-TV showed the rain pouring like cats and dogs...and with the temperature near freezing, icy conditions likely there. This storm is still projected to track North and East - center of circulation passes South of Kansas City. So, what Oklahoma City is seeing, we'll see later today and into Sunday.

Heavy rain and thunder is likely later this evening and continuing overnight. I still see the possibility of an inch or two of rain in the metro. Flood watch remains in effect from Saturday evening through Sunday. By 5AM Sunday, colder air will begin to move in and change the rain to a mix. By 7AM Sunday, looking like all of us will see snow.

Snowfall accumulations will be heaviest in locations that have seen the most snowfall all season long...this includes Maryville, St. Joseph and Leavenworth. This is where I can see 3-6" of snow and ice through Sunday. For the metro, just an inch or two. The bulk of this storm will fall as rain in Kansas City and then change to that light amount of snow early Sunday morning.

Periods of snow will continue through Sunday. I see another minor system behind this major storm that could produce a few additional flurries Sunday evening.

Monday will be quite cold with highs in the 20s. Warmer on Tuesday in the 30s. Wednesday through Friday, another storm is on tap. Temps look to be warm enough to produce rain showers during this time. But there might be some leftover moisture early Friday morning to produce a few snow showers.

Posted at 4:52 AM by Lisa Teachman

Friday, February 15, 2008

A Cold Rain...And Even Snow!

Bright and early this morning, we're talking 3 AM, I checked my crystal ball. No, not really! That crystal ball is synonymous with our weather models. It takes me several minutes to check out each one...looking from the lowest layer of the atmosphere up through about 30,000 feet.

Those models are saying something different from a few days ago...and that difference will play a critical part in our weekend plans.

Earlier this week, a storm pegged for late Saturday/Sunday, was forecasted to pass through Texas. Now, this storm wants to track just slightly South of Kansas City, bringing us rain and eventually snow.

Even though temperatures cooled due to an arctic front late Thursday, slight warming is expected by Saturday. Of course, right now I'm hearing the words of friend and mentor, Chief Meteorologist Bryan Busby, running through my head. He said, "Arctic air is like molasses. It's slow to move out and slow to modify." However, in this case it will be different. This storm will rapidly pull up warmer air from Texas not only at the surface but thousands of feet up. This could bump Saturday's afternoon high temperature into the 40s.

The National Weather Service out of Pleasant Hill has alluded to the idea of issuing both a Flood Watch and a Winter Storm Watch for this weekend. This storm looks to start as rain by Saturday evening...and there could be a lot of it! A couple of inches of heavy rain is not out of the question. Lightning and thunder could make Saturday night/early Sunday morning a unique experience!

There is still a question of when the colder air will arrive on Sunday. It could arrive as early as 4 AM and change everything from rain to a wintry mix to all snow. If the colder air holds off, then we'll see just rain. Gut feeling on this storm is that it's primarily a rainmaker instead of snow. But, a few locations could see periods of heavy snow throughout the day on Sunday, depending on where and when that heavy snow develops.

Of course, this system could drift 50 miles South and we might not see much of anything.

Keep it tuned to KMBC 9 News for further weather updates. Meteorologist Pete Grigsby and I will track this developing storm for you and your family through the weekend.

Posted at 5:45 AM by Lisa Teachman

Saturday, February 9, 2008

Best Of Both Worlds This Weekend!

Today will seem mild with a high of 45. By evening, the arctic front strolls in and will drop our temperatures overnight and into Sunday morning back to the single digits and lower teens. With the advancement of this front, it will come through dry, but there will be a lot of clouds present.

Sun and some clouds on Sunday. Much colder temperatures with highs in the mid-20s. By Monday, a clipper system passes through and this could produce some snow flurries/freezing rain by late morning. Then by afternoon with warmer temperatures, most of us will see a switch to rain. This doesn't look like a big snow maker/rain maker at this point.

Highs return to the 40s by Tuesday and Wednesday. The end of the work week looks unsettled with a chance for rain or snow late Thursday and into Friday morning. Then on Saturday, a chance for snow showers. Highs by Thursday will be back into the middle 30s with lows in the teens.

Posted at 4:45 AM by Lisa Teachman

Sunday, February 3, 2008

Here Comes Some Rain Showers!

Flurries showed up on radar this morning at 3 AM, North of Kansas City. Temperatures were already warming up in the pre-dawn hours. This afternoon, spotty rain showers are possible once the temp heats up. Overall, this doesn't look like a widespread, heavy rainer for the entire area. Missouri will probably have a better chance at seeing most of the rain showers.

Rain should depart by the Monday AM Rush. Then, the rest of the day will be warmer (in the 50s) under a mostly cloudy sky. By evening, a few rain showers might pop in Missouri (doesn't look like a big deal here).

The main portion of the storm system arrives on Tuesday. Precipitation isn't expected to begin until 8 AM. Temperatures look warm enough to support rain/wintry mix. But, the colder air will channel in throughout the day. By afternoon/early evening, everything becomes snow. Way too early to put out snowfall accumulations because of all these uncertainties.

Wednesday will be quiet with highs in the mid-30s. Thursday a weak cold front passes through and might produce a few flurries. But, the latest model runs show it even weaker than Tuesday's system with limited flurries.

Partly cloudy to mostly sunny Friday through Saturday. Warming into the mid-40s by Saturday.

Posted at 4:41 AM by Lisa Teachman

Saturday, February 2, 2008

Groundhog Day Forecast!

Okay folks...he saw his shadow. Six more weeks of winter.

Speaking of winter...A small disturbance passed North of Kansas City this morning. There was a light dusting reported in Princeton, Missouri. But, the trend for today is for that system to move away. A lot of sunshine this morning will be short-lived as clouds work in this afternoon. Highs will climb into the lower 40s.

On Sunday, a more aggressive system nears. After the noon hour, rain showers are likely. Can't completely rule out a rumble of thunder or two. Better chances for thunder and possibly heavy downpours by late evening/early overnight hours. Highs will be around 43.

Most of Monday will stay dry. The last portion of this storm system will pass through late Monday night into Tuesday morning. This could begin as showers/thunderstorms and then change to light snow. Too early to determine accumulations because there are too many variables that need to be worked out. Namely, the timing of the colder air. It might not arrive until after the AM Rush on Tuesday.

Wednesday will be quiet and partly cloudy. A minor cold front moves through on Thursday that may produce a few flurries. Partly cloudy on Friday. Highs Wednesday through Friday will be in the mid-30s to lower 40s.

Posted at 5:41 AM by Lisa Teachman